Table 4

Estimates of relative risk and 95% CIs of stroke according to quartiles of pasta meal intake

Energy-adjusted residual total pasta meal intake quartilesP value for trend
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Cases (n)889842822620
Person-years304 807.1310 167.8316 120.4322 181.7
HR (95% CI)
Model 1*1.000.96 (0.87 to 1.06)0.98 (0.89 to 1.08)0.83 (0.75 to 0.92)0.001
Model 2†1.000.98 (0.89 to 1.08)1.00 (0.90 to 1.10)0.84 (0.75 to 0.93)0.001
Model 3‡1.000.97 (0.88 to 1.08)1.00 (0.91 to 1.11)0.84 (0.75 to 0.93)0.001
Pasta/100 GL ratio quartilesP value for trend
Q1Q2Q3Q4
HR (95% CI)
Model 1*1.000.98 (0.89 to 1.08)0.99 (0.90 to 1.09)0.87 (0.79 to 0.97)0.009
Model 2†1.000.96 (0.88 to 1.06)0.96 (0.87 to 1.06)0.84 (0.76 to 0.93)0.001
Model 3‡1.000.97 (0.88 to 1.07)0.97 (0.88 to 1.08)0.85 (0.77 to 0.95)0.003
Pasta/1000 kcal energy ratio quartilesP value for trend
Q1Q2Q3Q4
HR (95% CI)
Model 1*1.000.91 (0.83 to 1.01)1.00 (0.91 to 1.09)0.84 (0.76 to 0.93)0.003
Model 2†1.000.91 (0.82 to 1.00)0.99 (0.90 to 1.09)0.83 (0.75 to 0.92)0.003
Model 3‡1.000.91 (0.82 to 1.00)1.00 (0.91. 1.10)0.84 (0.75 to 0.93)0.005
  • *Model 1 adjusted for age, race, region and study indicators.

  • †Model 2 adjusted for age, race, region, study indicators, body mass index (BMI), total energy intake and per cent energy from carbohydrates.

  • ‡Model 3 adjusted for age, race, region, study indicators, BMI, total energy intake, per cent energy from carbohydrates, smoking status, alcohol consumption, physical activity, Healthy Eating Index (HEI) 2005 and family history of stroke.

  • GL, glycaemic load.